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Submissions

Taking the "All" out of the All Star Game
The Flaws of Fan Voting

by Jeffery S. Brubaker (rocket21cy@hotmail.com)

Posted on the Society of American Baseball Research Listserv, July 7, 2000

Once again, like every year around this time, I take a look at the "All-star" voting results, and this year is no different from the last five years, in which the annual Indians ballot stuffing and other general ballot stuffing has produced some players having some pretty sub-par years that will end up starting or being scheduled to start. I decided to find out which players were getting unnoticed and underrepresented the most, and which players were getting the biggest "free-rides".

I listed 66 of 70 American League players, all within the top 10 in their position in votes (top 20 for outfielders) and also listed their final votes and current OPS [on-base percentage plus slugging percentage -- ed.]. Then I ranked each player in OPS and votes, from 1 to 66. I then calculated their rank differential (votes rank - OPS rank). So in this case, the players with the greatest positve rank differential would seem to be more underrepresented by voters, and vice versa. Here are the results...


Name          OPS Rank  Vote Rank  Diff.
Dean Palmer        24      64      40
Magglio Ordonez    8       47      39
Charles Johnson    14      51      37
Brian Daubach      29      58      29
Jose Valentin      39      66      27
Eric Chavez        30      56      26
Carlos Delgado     1       24      23
Greg Vaughn        19      40      21
Frank Thomas       3       22      19
Mike Bordick       37      53      16
Luis Alicea        38      54      16
Jay Buhner         26      41      15
Randy Velarde      35      48      13
Troy Glaus         9       21      12
Ramon Hernandez    49      61      12
Mike Sweeney       16      27      11
Mo Vaughn          21      32      11
John Olerud        23      34      11
Royce Clayton      52      63      11
Rafael Palmeiro    15      25      10
Ben Grieve         27      36      9
Jason Varitek      36      44      8
Juan Gonzalez      34      42      8
Raul Mondesi       28      35      7
Jason Giambi       2       9       7
Miguel Tejada      50      57      7
Brad Ausmus        60      65      5
Carl Everett       6       10      4
Albert Belle       22      26      4
Tony Batista       25      29      4
Alex Gonzalez      58      62      4
Jorge Posada       13      16      3
Travis Fryman      17      20      3
Darin Erstad       11      13      2
Nomar Garciaparra  7        8      1
Alex Rodriguez     5       4       -1
Ray Durham         32      31      -1
Ricky Ledee        44      43      -1
Ivan Rodriguez     4       1       -3
Jermaine Dye       10      7       -3
Jim Thome          18      14      -4
Dan Wilson         63      59      -4
Brian Johnson      64      60      -4
Joe Randa          33      28      -5
Bernie Williams    12      5       -7
Adam Kennedy       53      46      -7
Carlos Febles      56      49      -7
David Justice      20      12      -8
Brady Anderson     46      38      -8
Jose Cruz          42      33      -9
Delino DeShields   41      30      -11
Rey Sanchez        66      55      -11
Johnny Damon       45      37      -12
David Bell         62      50      -12
Vinny Castilla     65      52      -13
Jose Offerman      61      45      -16
Carlos Beltran     59      39      -20
Derek Jeter        31      6       -25
Paul O'Neill       40      15      -25
Tino Martinez      47      19      -28
Chuck Knoblauch    48      18      -30
Scott Brosius      54      23      -31
Omar Vizquel       57      17      -40
Roberto Alomar     43      2       -41
Kenny Lofton       55      11      -44
Cal Ripken         51      3       -48
* Note: The four players I did not use were Darrin Fletcher, Manny Ramirez, John Valentin, and Sandy Alomar. To qualify, a player had to play over 50 games.

Dean Palmer is the leader, having a rank in OPS 40 better than in total votes. Cal Ripken is getting the biggest free-ride, mostly because a. there are a lot of people in Baltimore, b. people still think he deserves an all-star induction this year just because he's had a good career, and c. because fans who are foreign to baseball are voting for the only AL 3B of which they have heard. They do not even recognize the T Glaus, the T Fryman, or the T Batista listed on the ballots.

Another thing to point out is that the last 9 in rank differential are either Orioles, Yankees, or Indians, and three of the last four are Indians. Not surprising.

Also of note is Carlos Delgado, who seems to have been forgotten in all this Giambi hype, when he is the hottest hitter in baseball right now. He is way ahead of the pack in OPS in the AL, and his voting rank is 24th.

The players closer to 0 are those with whom the fans actually seemed to be accurate, such as Ivan Rodriguez and Nomar Garciaparra.

I know this is a slightly new way of looking at things, so feel free to make suggestions. I am definitely one supporter of all-star voting reform, and hope this will help point out how year after year, baseball falls just a little short of showing the fans a TRUE All-Star Game.

If anyone wants the full copy of the spreadsheet with all the info, I'd be happy to email it and answer any questions. rocket21cy@hotmail.com

» Jeffery S. Brubaker is a high school senior at Marquette University High School in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He has been a member of the Society of American Baseball Research (SABR) for about one year, and this past summer attended SABR's national convention in West Palm Beach, FL. He enjoys playing formal and informal baseball over the summer, and in winter frequents the indoor batting cages. He also takes part in baseball research. He is currently researching the history of left-handed infielders (not including 1B) and has been a dyed-in-the-wool fan of the Toronto Blue Jays since the age of 4.